Analyze forecaster calibration across the Narcissist Forecasting Contest (2016-2025)
Names are grouped by person. Check the ones you want to include.
Perfect calibration = diagonal line. Above = underconfident. Below = overconfident. Click a point to see predictions.
| Year | Proposition | Forecast | Result |
|---|
Bars show Brier score (lower is better). Gray line = contest average.