Narcissist Forecasting Contest
2026 forecasting competition tracker with leaderboards, prop analytics, and Monte Carlo simulations.
Forecasting Contest Calibration
Forecaster calibration across 10 years of Narcissist Forecasting Contest data (2016–2025).
Fertility Rate Explorer
Why are birth rates falling? 265 countries and 75,000 US survey respondents — marriage, religion, economics, and projections.
AI Employment Futures
How will AI reshape US employment over the next decade? Prediction market anchors, industry breakdowns, probability bands.
NFL Valuation Explorer
What drives NFL franchise valuations — correlations, regression models, and team comparisons.
Birds of AI Assessment
Self-assess your business analytics skills across three dimensions: domain, statistics, coding.
HJR 203 Tracker
Florida Homestead Property Tax Elimination — probability dashboard with Manifold market data, FL-specific financial signals, and Zillow home value ratios.
Mabel's Providence Adventure
Mobile runner game starring Mabel the Bernedoodle romping through Providence collecting treats. Best on phones.